When oil causes war, in journal of peace research 506. Petroaggression is the tendency for a petrostate to be involved in international conflicts, or to be the targets of them. When oil causes war, colgan finds that petrostates countries where revenue from oil exports exceeds 10 percent of gdp are twice as likely to engage in interstate conflict than nonpetrostates. I argue that the effect of this oil income depends heavily on the domestic politics of the petrostate. America has the unfortunate habit of getting into war with oil exporting states, said colgan. To answer this question, a theory of aggressive foreign policy preferences is developed and then tested, using both quantitative and qualitative methods. Petroaggression shows that oil creates incentives that increase a petrostates aggression, but also incentives for the opposite. A state is more likely to instigate international conflict when it has a combination of a oil income and b a.
Why are some but not all oil exporting petrostates aggressive. Oil is the worlds single most important commodity and its. When oil causes war, i explore the relationship between oil exporting petrostates defined by having oil exports of at least 10 percent of gdp and aggressive foreign policy. The net effect depends critically on its domestic politics, especially the preferences of its leader. Jeff colgan significantly expands our understanding of the relationship between oil and war, explaining the domestic politics of oil s role in enabling revolutionary leaders to pursue aggressive foreign policies. Having an energy conversation without talking about climate is like talking about smoking and not talking about cancer. If oil rents other factors constant, a revolutionary petrostate is 249 percent free governments from negotiating. The geopolitics of the energy transformation irena. Oil, domestic conflict, and opportunities for democratization jeff d. Cambridge core middle east studies petroaggression by jeff d. It remains unclear whether the pattern of petroaggression found in oilrich.
Resource wars, including coverage of struggles over access to oil, have been the. Unpacking the nexus between market liberalisation and. When oil causes war, colgan finds that petrostates countries where revenue from oil exports exceeds 10 percent of gdp are twice. Jeff colgan is the richard holbrooke assistant professor of political science and international affairs at the watson institute of brown university. The resource curse literature suggests two stylized facts about oilproducing states petrostates that are not easily reconciled with each other. Russias incursion into crimea can be seen as a close cousin of petroaggression. The widespread assumption that a choice of market reforms presupposes a nonsecuritised path of energy policies makes the desecuritisation of energy politics an essentially rationalistdriven. Colgan is very smart in delivering message through the book. Reader can get many real examples that can be great knowledge.
When oil causes war, jeff colgan provides an indispensable starting point for researchers interested in the relationship between oil and international conflict. When oil causes war oil is the worlds single most important commodity and its political effects are pervasive. There are some stories that are showed in the book. One study suggests that petrorevolutionary states are 250 percent more likely to instigate international conflicts than a typical country. Petroaggression presents a clear theoretical argument, which it supports with a wealth of qualitative and quantitative data. Many analysts expect that a decline in natural resources and a rise in resource demand will increase the risk of interstate war in the coming decades.
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